Earth Sciences Pakistan (ESP)

RAINFALL TRENDS ANALYSIS IN CONTEXT OF CLIMATE CHANGE IN SAUDI ARABIA : A CASE STUDY OF HA’IL REGION

December 22, 2025 Posted by Basem In Earth Sciences Pakistan (ESP)

ABSTRACT

RAINFALL TRENDS ANALYSIS IN CONTEXT OF CLIMATE CHANGE IN SAUDI ARABIA : A CASE STUDY OF HA’IL REGION

Journal: Earth Sciences Pakistan (ESP)
Author: Mohammed Foudil Bourouba

This is an open access article distributed under the Creative Commons Attribution License CC BY 4.0, which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited

Doi: 10.26480/esp.02.2025.79.86

This study used the rainfall dataset collected for 1978-2015 in 8 rain stations located in Ha’il region. The purpose of this study is to analyze the variations and trends of rainfall events through a statistical analysis of data recorded. The analyze the rainfall variability has been processed using the coefficient of variation (CV) and Standardized Analyze Index (SAI) and plotted. While the rainfall trends have been analyzed by three statistically methods widely used: Simple Moving-Average (SMA), Homogeneity of variance (Hartley’s Fmax￾ratio) and Semi-averages. The trends analysis of annual rainfall shows that the fluctuations or variations in climatic parameters is a recurring phenomena in the studied stations. Inter-annual variability of rainfall and the cumulative frequency of rainy days are characterized by the high coefficients of variation. In addition, the values of Chi square test reveals the significant Standardized Anomaly Index (SAI) of rainfall. Accordingly, the results contain a total of 18 increasing trends (37.5%) and 30 decreasing trends (62.5%). These results indicate that the warming climate of Ha’il region is accelerating in recent decades, which may have severe socioeconomic repercussions in many sectors especially the agriculture and surface water resources.

Pages 79-86
Year 2025
Issue 2
Volume 9

Download